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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: LindyBill who wrote (89065)4/2/2003 7:17:42 AM
From: unclewest  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
LB,
While I share your enthusiasm...unless there is a bigger crack opened somewhere, I think the 4th sees action.

The 3rd will need a break at some point. And though I expect them to clean up what they have to right here. Another unit may be selected to spearhead the next phase. A lot of this will depend on how long they stay on the front line and how many casualties they sustain.

The tactics being used now continue to be classic American Infantry doctrine. 3 factors are under constant consideration...enemy, weather and terrain.
The enemy is in disarray, unable to resupply, reeling from indirect attacks, and trying to reinforce in the open. These are all reasons to press the attack right now.
The weather situation calls for an attack now too. The moon is favorable and the temps are moderate but expected to worsen.
Finally terrain...key terrain objectives are in our hands. Bridges create bottlenecks but better to cross them while you still have control. Minefields may be slightly restrictive but so far have not posed any major problems.

All of these items are in our favor in the south. I am not convinced of that in the North and West. I love badass A teams...but division killers they ain't. Not to say we cannot swing it our way eventually...just not sure we already have.

The constant pounding of the regime's HQ buildings leaves the major commanders without guidance. Yet it appears that many are willing to fight to the death. This ain't over yet. We have already seen that one division's throwing in the towel does not mean the rest will.

There will likely be plenty of combat opportunities for the 4th. I will be pleasantly surprised if is ended before they deploy.
uw
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