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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (30654)4/2/2003 7:42:03 PM
From: EL KABONG!!!  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
Hi KastelCo,

While we in the West view a loose coalition of smaller countries comprised of tribes friendly to one another as a possible solution to the reconstruction of Iraq once the war is finished, most Arabic nations are firmly opposed to such a solution.

You mentioned one reason, which is an amicable division of natural resources, which could also include trading routes to the sea (no one wants to be a land-locked country).

But a more insurmountable obstacle is the determined opposition to allowing some of these tribes autonomy. For example, Turkey would never in a thousand years go along with the creation of a Kurdistan. Nor would many nations appreciate the creation of a country governed by Shiites, which many fear would align themselves with fundamentalist Iran. There's more examples, of course, but these two are perhaps the largest obstacles. (The fear is that whoever ends up with the most black gold could dictate a new set of rules to other Arabic countries, and present a challenge to OPEC.)

KJC
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