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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Madharry who wrote (16781)4/9/2003 9:55:02 PM
From: Bob Rudd  Read Replies (2) of 78652
 
Madharry: ACDO - The receivables aren't the key issue. They were purchased & the sellers estimate of uncollectibles was accepted....now it looks like an adjustment to a higher level may be required. If there were fraud, ACDO would be the vic not the perp....but there's no fraud, just an adjustment that will actually help visible earnings in 04 by about .25.
The key issue, IMO, is whether Pharmacy Benefit Managers, PBM's like quote.yahoo.com are taking share and will continue to take share from ACDO. The PBM's are generalists offering one stop shopping while ACDO is a specialist offering higher service levels for specific accute diseases. The PBM's gained some ground recently when ACDO's sales force took their eye off the ball due to acquisition integration and other temporary issues. ACDO says this is temporary, that there has been no real change in competitive dynamics. Some analysts aren't so sure. The shares reflect bearish expectations. I'm betting ACDO is telling it straight, but it's not a big bet. ACDO is scheduled to offer 04 guidance early May.
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