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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: FaultLine who started this subject4/11/2003 1:26:05 AM
From: paul_philp  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
I am writing my notes on what I think will be the consequences of the coalition victory in the War. I have a question about domestic politics in the US and I thought I could get some insight here.

Isn't there a chance that the Democratic Party will be split by the war. The 'hard left' has been activated by the war, they seem vocal, enthusiastic and organized. My guess is they represent about 15% - 20% of the population. As they have been activated by the war, these people will be very motivated fund raisers and campaign organizers in 2004. The canadidate getting traction with these people seems to be Howard Dean.

A second type of Democrat will be more centrist and more pragmatic, may not want to choose a candidate based on the war directly and will consider 'winability' important. They might want a pro-war national secuirty candidate that can hammer Bush on the economy and health care and social secuirty. Gepheart and Lieberman seem to fall into this camp.

Couldn't these pressures cause a rift in the Democratic party? Couldn't the DLC feel the need to split away from the harder left? I am curious if this could lead to a serious 3rd party candidate? or a Draft Al movement to 'save' the party.

Thanks for the help,
Paul
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