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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Tom Clarke who wrote (92559)	4/11/2003 11:33:33 PM
From: Dayuhan	Read Replies (3) of 281500

The neocons' whole premise was that people who live under tyranny will rise up and welcome their liberation. They were right, everyone else was wrong. No, they were not right. "The people" are not welcoming liberation. There is no "the people", not in Iraq or anywhere else. Some people welcome it; they get on CNN. Some people don't like it at all, and they are keeping a pretty low profile at the moment. Some people are somewhere in betwen. Most are probably just keeping their heads down and waiting to see what comes next. What comes next is, of course, the difficult part, and the signs are not good. Already we see the Turks getting edgy at the Kurdish move into KIrkuk, and at the clear Kurdish nationalist sentiment there. The Shiites are restive, with the divide between SCIRI and the Americans showing clearly. Law and order is going to be a big job. I always thought the military end of this would be the easy part... that's something we are good at. What's coming up will be a lot harder, especially when we start putting a large civilian footprint down. Many excellent targets for terror attacks, and very porous borders....

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