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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (93600)4/15/2003 4:28:39 AM
From: Dayuhan  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 

I'd say in the short term the biggest problem is finding acceptable leadership for the many factions to create some form of confederation. If we cannot do that, then terrorism will arise.

I'd call the formation of acceptable leadership more of a medium-term problem.

One of the problems of terrorism is that it can arise even in the presence of a confederation representing most factions. A very small number of extremists can do a lot of damage, especially in the early stages, when the credibility of the local police force and intelligence establishment is most doubtful. Companies that will be participating in reconstruction will need security guarantees for their people, and those will be difficult to give. Our troops fight better than anyone on earth, but we can't expect them to sweep Iraqi neighborhoods looking for terrorists.
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