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Non-Tech : CDWN - Colonial Downs (1st Horse Track in VA since 1800s)

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To: dave luken who wrote (16)8/1/1997 10:28:00 AM
From: H.J. Schellenberg   of 158
 
DAVE - I looked at PENN at your request. It is the only company I have looked at that is similar to Colonial Downs and can serve as a model for CDWN stock. Here's what I found out:

1. PENN is a high growth stock trading at $15-$20/share with a P/E of 37. However, PENN has twice the capitalization of CDWN (15 million shares vs. 7.4) and PENN only earned 30 plus cents in the last FY (their 4th as a public company).

The consensus estimate for CDWN this FY is 30 plus cents, same as PENN last year. I found this VERY EXCITING! Since both stocks are in the same industry, this leads me to believe that CDWN should be trading at $15-20.00/share now ! However, I feel CDWN is a better company and should command a P/E that is higher.

If we take the implied earnings of CDWN in FY 98 (.90 plus cents) and multiply that by a P/E of 37, we see the estimated value of CDWN stock is about $33.00 a share one year from now.

All together, this is great news for CDWN shareholders. Thanks for bringing this to my attention.
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