Copper Rises to Near 3-Week High as Consumers Stockpile Metal 2003-04-15 12:32 (New York)
London, April 15 (Bloomberg) -- Copper gained to a near three-week high as carmakers and electrical goods manufacturers stockpiled the metal, expecting industrial output to pick up in the second quarter. Aluminum rose to a 2 1/2-week high. Copper consumers are taking advantage of the metal's low price, buying supplies to cater for a rise in demand in construction and building work in the second quarter. The war in Iraq and poor weather conditions caused construction to slow in the first quarter. Things may pick up in the second, analysts said. Copper yesterday fell below $1,600 a metric ton. ``There is definitely an element of bargain hunting,'' said Robin Bhar, an analyst at Standard Bank in London. ``$1,600 is a price considered cheap by many consumers. Forward prices are quite attractive when you think some people are forecasting prices above $1,800 by the end of the year.'' Copper for delivery in three months added $24, or 1.5 percent, to $1,627 a metric ton at 5:00 p.m., the close of London Metal Exchange ring trading, as open outcry trading is known. It's the highest closing price since March 26. LME- monitored copper inventories dropped for a 28th day to 791,975 metric tons. Aluminum for three-month delivery rose $11.5, or 0.9 percent, to $1,349 a metric ton, its highest closing price since March 28. Aluminum stockpiles fell for a 20th day, to 1.27 million tons. U.S. retail sales rebounded in March as Americans took advantage of promotions to buy autos and returned to stores after February snowstorms. Consumer confidence rose in April as U.S. forces entered Baghdad. Growth in the world's biggest economy may accelerate this year ``toward a healthy and sustainable pace of 3 to 4 percent by year's end,'' Anthony Santomero, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, said yesterday.
French Production
French industrial production rose for a second month in February, increasing 0.6 percent from January, the government said. Economists had predicted a drop of 0.4 percent. Construction rose 2.6 percent in February, following a 3.2 percent drop the previous month, it said. Metals prices slumped last month amid concern about the U.S. economy's sluggish first-quarter performance. Copper shed 7.0 percent in March and aluminum fell 5.2 percent. Federal Reserve figures this afternoon showed U.S. industrial output declined in March for the second straight month as concerns demand would falter with the onset of war led factories to trim inventories. Production at factories, mines and utilities dropped 0.5 percent last month after falling a revised 0.1 percent in February, the Federal Reserve reported.
New York Manufacturing
Figures released today about the New York area showed manufacturing contracted this month by the most since October 2001 as orders plunged amid concern that progress in the Iraq war wouldn't lead to a rebound in sales. A factory index compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York dropped to minus 20.4 in April, the lowest since the aftermath of terrorist attacks on New York and Washington, from minus 2.8 in March. It was the second straight reading below zero, the longest stretch of negative readings since 2001. Negative numbers signal that a majority of factories reported a deterioration in business. ``Economic data releases continue to paint a mixed picture but there seems to be a consensus view that the global economy will recover in the second half,'' Frederick Demler, a metals analyst at Man financial Inc. in New York said in an e-mailed note.
--Claire Shoesmith in the London newsroom at (44-20-7673-2659) or cshoesmith@bloomberg.net. Editor: G. Reynolds. |