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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: sciAticA errAticA who wrote (31565)	4/15/2003 7:28:21 PM
From: sciAticA errAticA	Read Replies (1) of 74559

Is Al Qa'ida's Ominous Silence Soon To End? ~ 15th April 2003 AFI RESEARCH INTELL.BRIEFING: ~ Despite a widely held belief that the opening of the War on Iraq would coincide with a worldwide terrorist onslaught against Western targets by Osama Bin Landen and his allies, the surprising lack of attacks has continued throughout the campaign. Now however Western Intelligence services are becoming increasingly concerned that this unexpected quiet period is about to end and indeed the Israeli Secret Service, Mossad are pointedly warning that the Easter holidays may be the target of a renewed series of Al Qa'ida outrages. ~ Al Qa'ida and the other Islamic Front organizations have studiously avoided doing anything that might be construed by Washington as giving support for Saddam Hussein's regime. However with the fall of Baghdad and the beginnings of open opposition by the Iranian-backed Shia majority to the American occupation of Iraq, Tehran and the Gulf State supporters of Al Qa'ida may now see little further benefit from continuing to curtail their attacks on Western targets. ~ Despite the outstanding military campaign conducted by Washington in Iraq, it is now quite obvious that the American forces are distinctly uneasy at the prospect of a long lasting occupation of a country where the majority may indeed only be luke warm in their support at best. The US Army are ill-trained for a police or counter-insurgency role in an Arab nation of some 25 million and in particular as Washington's open hostility to both Syria and Iran makes the likelihood of those nations stirring up trouble in Iraq that much greater. ~ It can not be ruled out completely that significant numbers of well armed Saddam loyalists still exist in the cities and towns of Iraq and that others have escaped into Iran, Syria or had already been placed abroad. If Saddam or either of his two sons have survived it remains conceivable that resistance of some form will eventually occur both within Iraq from the former Ba'ath regime and perhaps in acts of terrorism abroad. ~ Both President Bush and Prime Minister Blair must be fully aware that the international terrorist threat has not gone away and may indeed be about to resurface with a vengeance. However this time it may be compounded by revenge attacks from sabotage cells infiltrated into the United States and Europe by the former Iraqi intelligence services. ~ Richard M. Bennett and Marcus Cohen Richard Bennett Media. rbmedia@supanet.com

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