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Strategies & Market Trends : Charts & Scans
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To: Ron who wrote (2807)4/16/2003 8:07:28 AM
From: Jeff Jordan  Read Replies (1) of 5125
 
Everybody has a plan...my own plans aren't working as well as hoped for April. My focus is EBAY as to the time and money invested. It isn't anymore reasonable for me to expect a 5% decline today-tomorrow in EBAY for my Apr. options as the current hope this rally extends by others.

Here's what I see them. Some uncertainty regarding Iraq has lifted, but realities still exist, not to mention the cost and continuing cost. There is no return on our military expenditure except the opportunity to carry-on life as usual. Real economic stimulus and effects are yet to be realized. Expectations and future pricing and discounting game is so far from reality any intelligent person saying this or that and this will happen is a greater fool.

Saying that reason can be the great deceiver.

Ok....oil and the economy. Industries such as insurance or software etc that are not directly related to costs of energy are plodding along. Manufacturing and everything else is effected directly on the bottom line. Commodity prices should rise. Gold will rise. We are just seeing the tip of ice berg in the M.E. so oil problems will continue for a long time. Anyway my point is it's still about valuation as market perception of well being.

There is no easy money to be made.....that's for sure!
I will have to average in my OEX puts this am. I am very sceptical this rally has staying power.

BE CAREFUL!
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