SARS and Avian Flu Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu

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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (141)	4/17/2003 10:25:23 AM
From: Biomaven	Read Replies (2) of 4232

(OT) I've never quite understood why we have such a slow simmering hysteria surrounding smallpox. I don't think anyone believes there is a substantial risk of smallpox, but it is prudent to assume a slight risk. Russia and the US had the only declared stocks, but who knows how many undeclared stocks there were/are. But even a very small risk is unacceptable if you don't have vaccine on hand. Some simulations showed massive US casualties (in the millions or tens of millions) if smallpox was spread among an unprotected population. (It is believed that the smallpox vaccinations that many adults received twenty and more years ago are no longer protective.) Fortunately, it appears you can still vaccinate after exposure to smallpox, and so I believe that widespread vaccination now is a mistake. Peter

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