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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: broadstbull who wrote (94510)4/18/2003 12:11:24 PM
From: paul_philp  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
If you had taken one minute to look at my 'disturbing' posts(which I doubt you did) you would have seen that I have been asking the Bushies over at the GWB board why they consider Iraq and enemy, but not Suadi Arabia. I have taken a ton a flak for pointing out Bush's appearance of being "in bed" with the Saudis.


I believe, and have long posted such, that Saudi Arabia is the end game of the neocon middle east strategy. I think it is a fair statement to say that the Bush administration is 'in bed' with the House of Saud. I also think it is best of some very bad alternatives.

The House of Saud is on shaky ground, if they fall, it will be to a Wahhabi uprising. Just what the world needs now, a Wahhabi government in Saudi Arabia. Next to a fundamentalist coup in Pakistan, it is my second biggest fear in the middle east today.

All the smart bombs and special ops boys will do you know good if that happens. The US cannot simply waltz into Saudi Arabia with foment an organized Islamic crusade. Imagine some testosterone driven corporal flying the Stars and Stripes over Mecca for a minute. Nightmare scenario. Then there's the oil problem.

The solution, and what I believe the Bush strategy, is to undermine the credibility of Islamist terror as a source of political power with the people of the Middle East. Push the House of Saud towards reform with causing them to fall, pull the rug out from underneath the Wahhabi mullahs, support the voices of moderation as they emerge.

Saudi Arabia is the biggest problem and it is the end game. Can't capture the other guys King without taking some territory and some other pieces first. Syria is just noise right now, the real next 'target' is Iran. The fall of the Iranian mullahs will be a tectonic shock to the Islamist movement because it is the people of Iran who are rejecting fundamental Islam as the governing method.

Patience. Keep your eye on the prize.

Paul
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