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Strategies & Market Trends : Raptor's Den II

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To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (282)	4/19/2003 3:12:55 PM
From: Lone Ranger	Read Replies (2) of 3432

Justa, "LR: Vix and Vxn could decline further but there is nothing to say that the market would not decline long with them." Maybe I'm dense<g> but what makes you think this? Usually as the market declines the fear gauges increase. And I thought the basis for the people expecting a decline, even a waterfall decline, were basing a lot of that on the super complacency indicated by these indicators and the 21 day moving avg of the put/call ratio. But what might happen if a trend reversal is occurring or has occurred, is then these indicators might rightly show a decrease in nervousness as the market rises but I don't understand how these would decline in a declining market. LR

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