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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: KLP who wrote (95000)	4/19/2003 11:50:59 PM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) of 281500

I had much the same thoughts. Except, I thought maybe the Iraqi people would indeed realize themselves the importance of having help to establish their new government and infrastructure. We'll see... It could get dicey here with the way the Shiite's are holding their rallies telling the US to get out so they can create an Islamic state. It might require some coercive measures, which the US would be loath to use... The alternative would be to split the country and establish a Kurdish state, or use the Kurds as some kind of security force in Baghdad.. And that option is not attractive either. And the Iraqi Shiites need to recognize that neither Saudi Arabia, Turkey, or Jordan would be keen to permit another Shiite Theocratic tyranny on their borders. After all, that's why they supported Saddam in the first place against the Iranians. We'll have to see just how far the Shiites are willing to push this, as well as what kind of influence Chalabi possesses in Shiite circles. Hawk

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