SARS and Avian Flu Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu

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To: IRWIN JAMES FRANKEL who wrote (199)	4/22/2003 9:32:33 AM
From: Biomaven	Read Replies (2) of 4232

That gives a mortality range of 1.14% to 2.28%. There really are two different "mortality rates" here. One is the percentage of the population a disease kills; the more common definition is the percentage of those who get the disease that die. I've seen estimates that 1/3 of people got the 'flu, which would give a mortality rate of around 3-7% by the other more common definition. Remember the mortality rates we are hearing about for SARS are likely too low - there are many people who have the disease but have not yet recovered. If you look at the ratio of dead:recovered in places with reliable statistics you get a pretty grim outlook: Canada - 12:54 (22%) Hong Kong - 94:436 (21%) Singapore - 16:104 (15%) Peter

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