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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries
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To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (32390)4/25/2003 1:10:43 AM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
For example, existing time series models show the climate moving to equilibrium in response to a shock (like increased CO2) in a matter of years. In this model the response appears to be in the hundreds of years as predicted by physics. My aim is to get confidence intervals etc. around global warming climate sensitivity and the adjustment path directly from observed data rather than having to believe a lot of a priori stuff in the deterministic physics based models. Up till now the time series models have been too primitive to do this.
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