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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: sciAticA errAticA who wrote (32498)4/26/2003 9:37:24 PM
From: sciAticA errAticA  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
Prediction: The future of the USA stock market

Didier Sornette, Professor of Geophysics

Department of Earth and Space Sciences
University of California, Los Angeles

ess.ucla.edu

excerpt:

Based on a theory of cooperative herding and imitation working both in bullish as well as in bearish regimes, we have detected the existence of a clear signature of herding in the decay of the US S&P500 index since August 2000 with high statistical significance, in the form of strong log-periodic components.
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