Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (32499)	4/27/2003 1:22:14 AM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (1) of 74559

Hi Jay - I think the world is header for a calmer financial summer. Things will get quieter, move slowly towards middle values for a while. Past year has seen big geopolitical events - Afghanistan, Bali atttack, Iraq, North Korea, SARS. All will be getting quieter (not resolved). IF SARS follows the common cold model, infections will drop in summer, climb in winter. The world has 6 months or so. Canada has SARS contained. Singapore making progress. Phillipines needs to keep out Canadians....no matter how cuddly they are. Looks like Hong Kong has almost turned the corner on SARS. (but not on panic) Mainland China has had a wake up call - Shanghai still an issue, but China is moving on this. US market appeared to bottom in October. This is not a new bull, but part of the sideways motion. US dollar value vs. Euro is reasonable. Threat of $40 oil has gone away. Most central banks are pumping money and liquidity in. Commodity prices stopped falling, and have been rising for a number of months. By the way, Warren Buffett has bought a BIG piece of PetroChina. You bought before he did. You should feel good about that.

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