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Politics : Bush-The Mastermind behind 9/11?

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To: JBTFD who wrote (390)4/28/2003 12:32:02 PM
From: Don Earl  Read Replies (1) of 20039
 
RE: Occam's razor

Occam's razor is a scientific principal that if two theories explain the same set of facts, the simpler of the two is the more likely explanation.

For example: Bush appoints the anti Iraq hawks employed by his father. An International investment firm with companies in energy and defense submits a proposal for using WMDs as an excuse to take control of Iraqi oil. A group of terrorists enter the country to hijack airplanes. The FBI discovers the terrorists but are prevented from investigating. A bunch of put options are placed on the airline stocks, but no investigation takes place. An Israeli company moves out of the WTC 2 weeks before the attacks. The attacks take place, but there is a complete failure of any kind of air defense. The WTC is reduced to powder, but was designed to with stand a jet collision. Evidence from the WTC is destroyed. Anthrax identical to that at Ft. Detrick is mailed in 4 letters, but the investigation goes no where. At least 7 of the hijackers were using false ID, and the other 12 can't be proven conclusively. Another Israeli company packs up and abandons their business when 5 of their Israeli employees are arrested and two of them turn out to be Mossad agents.

You might end up with a number of theories to explain the facts. For example:

Osama bin Laden did it and it was coincidence it gave Bush an excuse to attack Iraq. It was also a coincidence and bad luck the FBI were not allowed to investigate. It was also a coincidence and bad luck the Air Force never got anywhere close enough to do anything about the attacks. No one knows why public investigations haven't taken place or why so much evidence is classified top secret by the Bush administration, but they might have a valid reason. A team of top bioweapon experts spent over a year attempting to produce something close to their own anthrax weapons, using home lab equipment in order to prove the anthrax might have come from someplace else. Although most of the WTC evidence was destroyed, a government panel offers an inconclusive opinion a fire burning at half the temperature needed to melt steel, may have melted steel and caused the WTC to turn to powder. The Israelis were released and deported on the assumption they didn't have anything to do with the attacks.

Or another theory might go something like this:

Bush needed an excuse to attack Iraq and decided the sacrifice of a few Americans wasn't too high a price to pay considering the billions of dollars involved and a personal hatred for Iraq. Israeli agents were brought in to pose as Arabs and the Bush administration hawks provided cover for the operation to prevent its failure. The attacks succeeded and the Bush administration then used their authority to destroy evidence and impede investigations. Bush gets his war and all his buddies make lots of money.

Occam's razor cuts the first theory to shreds. Too many unexplained accidents had to happen for the plan to succeed, and too many other events aren't covered in the theory. The second theory covers all the facts without having to stretch the imagination to try to make it fit.

By the principals of Occam's razor, the second theory would be the correct one.
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