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Pastimes : SARS - what next?
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To: RealMuLan who wrote (327)4/29/2003 11:23:14 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (3) of 1070
 
Yiwu - re: death rate. Maurice Winn has been very accurate in his projection - if you divide the cumulative number of infected patients by the cumulative number dead, you get a very false percentage of deaths because the number infected continues to climb.

You need to look at the death rate of one cohort of people who were infected.

If you do, the death rate is well above 10% - probably approaching 20%.

Also, sorry, but China still isn't accurately reporting SARS victims.

No offense, because Canada and the US are also struggling with this.
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