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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 690.270.0%4:00 PM EST

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (83779)4/30/2003 2:31:23 AM
From: Psycho-Social  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Just my opinion, but if you're short, I think you all should be looking at covering and going long.
Methinks we're looking at the beginnings of a major summer rally.

My indicators suggest something close to the opposite. You've got plenty of company in your optimistic assessment - just listen to the commentators and guests on CNBC. While my contrarian indicators show an overbought Market, the Fear Factor's 3-5 wk effect suggests we could well see the final high in the first half of May - the aftereffect from the euphoria and feeling of invulnerability generated at the fall of Baghdad. Not sure if the coming decline will be deep, but the euphoria surrounding our supposed victory over what was cast as a terrorist State, and the positive spin being put on what are actually ho hum earnings leave little room for further gains after the Fear Factor effect runs its course.
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