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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (96648)	4/30/2003 12:47:51 PM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) of 281500

The more the shia clerics move to Iraq, the weaker the hardliners in Iran get, and they are already weakened by internal woes. I think the Iranian Shiite clerics can see the handwriting on the wall as to their future in Iran, just like the rest of us. But Iraq presents an opportunity for them to marshall the substantial Shiite community there and preserve some measure of influence in the Shiite Holy Land... Because let's not forget, Karbala to the average Shiite is like Mecca to the Sunnis. And just as militant Wahhabism has led to resentment at US presence in Saudi Arabia (hence our recent pull out), militant Shia clerics see the potential for establishing the same situation in Iraq. Thus, is there a credible threat of Iranian Shia agents of influence, or actual Shiite operatives are working to create instability in Iraq?? Absolutely. But it's not for the purpose of advancing Iranian interests over those of Iraq, but to seize juridictional control over the holiest sites of Shiism, from which they can re-establish control over Shiites throughout the region. Hawk

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