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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 53.53+4.5%3:59 PM EST

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To: jayhawk969 who wrote (8213)4/30/2003 2:32:40 PM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (1) of 52153
 
NBIX vs. DOVP

I'm afraid I haven't done this calculation, although I should have.

Probably the way to think about is is to figure out for say $100m in marginal Indiplon sales, what is the ratio of the income collected by NBIX to that collected by DOVP. (This ratio might change some depending on what initial sales level you assume - i.e., DOVP likely collects comparatively more for the first $100m in sales than it does for the last $100m in sales at a starting sales level of say $600m.)

You then need to compare the NBIX:DOVP comparative earning ratio you find above to the ratio of the market caps of the two stocks. That tells you which one is more sensitive to Indiplon.

Anyone like to have a stab at the calculation for us?

Peter
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