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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 690.38

+0.4%

Dec 24 4:00 PM EST

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To: Tom Pulley who wrote (83775)	4/30/2003 4:51:44 PM
From: Tom Pulley	Read Replies (1) of 99985

April 30th Market timing update: As of April 30th the timing model is up 14.2% vs the QQQ which is up 12.6%. Those results are nothing to be proud of as my short position in April caused me to lose some ground. Hopefully that will be made up in the next couple months. In any event, as long as I'm up I can't complain too much. Here are all the actual trades: Market Timing Model: 2003 - Started year at 50% long with QQQ at $24.37: 2052 QQQ, $49,983 Cash - Jan 15 went to 25% short at $27.29: Short 971 QQQ, $79,463 cash. - Jan 28 went to 50% long at $24.80: long 2185 QQQ, $54, 180 cash - Jan 31 went to 100% long at $24.12: long 4431 QQQ - March 14th went from 100% long to 50% long at the open at $25.80. Now at $57137 in cash and 2216 shares QQQ. - March 18th went to 100% cash at the open at $26.88. Now at $116,693 cash. - March 20th went to 25% short at the open at $26.51. Now at 1100 QQQ short and $87,510 cash. - April 8th went to 50% short at the open at $26.18. Now at 2214 QQQ short and $58,330 cash. Tom

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