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Strategies & Market Trends : Arbitrage Plays

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To: Michael Burry who started this subject5/5/2003 9:51:10 AM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) of 376
 
Sunday's NY Times Business interviews a fund whose managers specialize in merger plays. They have been buying into the takeover of CE by FDC. I have a very small amount of CE, but I've not been adding more. Each CE ($14.60 closing price Fri.) is being offered .4 shares of FDC ($40.22). I had been concerned about regulatory approval, but these managers say that FDC ought to be able to satisfy gov't concerns by selling a small portion of their business where there might be overlap.

I had another concern and that's that both stocks have risen in the current positive market, so I see a possible volatility issue. My preference always is to just buy the target company. With the rise in FDC though, this suggests that maybe the proper play is that one should not only buy CE but also should short FDC. Otherwise one could capture the spread but still lose money overall if FDC dropped back dragging CE with it.
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