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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use

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To: The Ox who wrote (758)5/6/2003 12:22:26 AM
From: EL KABONG!!!  Read Replies (3) of 4912
 
Michael,

I think that to start, we'd need to define fairly precisely (for the purposes of debate) what set of conditions we consider to be a depression and what worsened set of conditions we would consider to be a great depression.

My viewpoint is that a depression is defined by:

-o- massive unemployment
-o- lack of opportunities for gainful employment
-o- lack of investment opportunities
-o- lack of purchasing power by the masses
-o- bankruptcies, both individual and corporate
-o- some degree of deflation, particularly for commodities
-o- what wealth remains is concentrated within a small sphere of individuals/entities
-o- governments/charities/churches become the chief suppliers of day to day sustenance for many people (think soup lines, welfare, unemployment benefits, charity, etc.)
-o- GDP decreases

I'm sure that other posters here (including you) could think of other factors as well.

Once we can agree on a definition of depression, then we can speculate on possible causes ranging from geopolitics to economics to the ever popular random-meteorite-in-China theory...

KJC
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