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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu

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To: Condor who wrote (816)5/13/2003 3:40:41 PM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (2) of 4232
 
<PFE>

I follow Pfizer (from a distance, at least).

A cold treatment trial is a very tough hurdle indeed - by the time you start treating the patient is practically already getting better and given it takes a few days for the drug effect to kick in it's hard to prove efficacy. Add to that a demand for absolute safety, and you have a tough hurdle to overcome. VPHM's pleconaril worked about as well as you could expect a cold drug to work, but still got turned down at the FDA. (It had some other problems, though).

In general, PFE is so big that a SARS drug would have little or no effect on its earnings (unless there was a major epidemic in a first-world country). PFE is probably the strongest of the big pharma in terms of pipeline and resources - however it isn't clear that that isn't already in the stock.

Peter
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