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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Dayuhan who wrote (98400)	5/16/2003 8:38:54 AM
From: Brumar89	Read Replies (2) of 281500

I wonder what we will do if it becomes clear that a party advocating an Islamic state is going to win the first election.... Since Shiites are 60% of the population, in order for that to happen, 5/6 of the Shiite population would have to vote as a unified bloc behind one party. It's probably safe to assume no Sunni Arabs or Kurds would vote for a Shiite Islamic government so a Shiite Islamic party would have to get all their votes from the 60% of the population that is Shiite. I'd think that at least 1/6 of the Shiites would prefer a secular government. Besides of the Shiites who would support a religous government, they seem to be split between factions loyal to different religous leaders. A bigger worry might be that factions turn to violence when they can't get what they want via the ballot box.

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