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Pastimes : SARS - what next?
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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (482)5/20/2003 11:48:42 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) of 1070
 
Cumulative deaths and weekly deaths graphs:
x = 10 deaths.
Cumulative deaths
26 Feb ?
..5 Mar x
12 Mar x
19 Mar x
26 Mar xx
...2 Apr xxxxx
...9 Apr xxxxxxxxxx
.16 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
.23 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
.30 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
..7 May xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
.14 May xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
.20 May xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx[662]

On a weekly basis: Deaths for the week.
x = 10 deaths.
z = early days, fewer than 10 per week.
26 Feb z
..5 Mar z
12 Mar z
19 Mar z
26 Mar x
...2 Apr xxx
...9 Apr xxxxx
.16 Apr xxxxxx
.23 Apr xxxxxxxxx
.30 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxx
..7 May xxxxxxxxxxxxx
.14 May xxxxxxxxx
.21 May xxxxxxxx [estimate based on last 6 days]
who.int

Taiwan absurdly has allowed sars to get away on them. They had heaps of warning, were right there in the hot zone, but seem to have done nothing until it was on them. Too late now. Taiwan has mayhem on their hands with a huge death rate = 15% and not many more recoveries. At that rate they'll have a 20% death rate? What the heck is going on? China had a low death rate and Taiwan is getting a huge one. Diagnostic differences? People aren't designated sarist unless they are at death's door?

China is nearing the 50% recovered of the cumulative total showing they are winning.

Mqurice
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