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Gold/Mining/Energy : Precious and Base Metal Investing

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To: Tommaso who wrote (11268)5/21/2003 12:34:50 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) of 39344
 
FWIW, I'm using the standard accepted valuation method on WS, so of course you just take it as my opinion.

Now a couple of your points are off:

<<So if you are SURE that WHT is going to double, and you can get the warrant currently for 35 cents, it is a good buy.>

The whole reason for the "premium" in an option [as in insurance premium] is to protect your downside. You also lose less than 1/2 should the company go under. It is generally accepted to look at the full expected value... not just upside.

So while your "expiration day" analysis is correct and useful it does miss the added dimension of options or warrants. If you aren't concerned about the downside or think that limited loss 'insurance' is worthless, then you would almost never buy a warrant or option.

< They don't have a "strike" price. The conversion premium is $1.65 Canadian>

I'm using option lingo, these are the same.

<or unless the Canadian dollar drops back dramatically in value. >

This part is backward... the warrants on the AMEX will rally as the Canadian dollar RALLIES not sells off. If the Loonie goes to par with the ClownBuck tomorrow ceteris paribus, the Amex Warrants [.40] will rally to equal the Toronto price [.55?].

DAK
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