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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: Paul Shread who wrote (74368)5/23/2003 10:49:00 AM
From: reaper  Read Replies (3) of 209892
 
Paul -- on KMart.

let me ammend my prior reply. most of the shares are now owned by ESL (Edward Lampert) and Third Avenue Value. these are REALLY smart guys and deep value players. and Lampert knows retail. they surely bought the KMart debt at a huge discount with the intention of getting common in the re-organization. that makes them more likely to be "holders" rather than sellers. that said, some leg work is likely required to figure out what their cost basis is.

also note that later this summer unpaid vendors are due to get something like 25mm shares. THESE folks are highly unlikely to hold onto their stock (if you are an apparrel manufacturer and KMart owes you a bunch of money, and you get stock instead of cash, what are you going to do; sell the stock for what you can get for it).

i've invested in a lot of re-organized companies over the course of my life (and they have provided some of my best returns). i have found that you're best off waiting a year or so after the company emerges from bankruptcy before you make a decision. this gives you time to observe several quarters of financial results, and the stocks rarely go anywhere due to the afore-mentioned over-hang of former creditors who get stock and just want to sell out at any price.

Cheers
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