Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: getanewlife who wrote (34379)	5/27/2003 2:09:20 AM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (1) of 74559

Hi Ge Ying - I would stay far away from US REITs - there is a property glut in most cities, and leases are being signed at lower rates than expiring leases. REITs do best when inflation ends, and lease rates catch up with previous inflation. TIPS are a slightly better choice , especailly in a tax free account. CPI index for Tips is flawed, but better much than nothing, and will track pretty well. There's still a window for buying some of the Canadian Royalty trusts, like ERF, but the values are getting a bit ahead of where they should be, might have a 10-15 % drop. Might want to wait until early June or so... Look at a 1 year chart for SJT - see the run up/drop back in March ? we are getting an echo of that blip ...I expect a simmilar drop back toward trend line. TIAA/CERF has a pretty good track record, too bad they don't offer more choices.

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