Vector, yes AVIR may settle in the high 20's if not higher at this rate. One long-term question on this one is that of valuation; as brought up earlier. What multiple of sales or earnings are the RS/H&Q people using? Are there vaccine "pure plays" one can use for comparison? PMC looks (very) complicated and CHIR's vaccine-related revenues are a fraction of total.
To put some generic stuff about Vical from today's Q-report (http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/97/08/04/mrk_vicl_1.html):
"In July 1997, Pasteur Merieux Connaught and Vical started a Phase I clinical trial with an experimental DNA vaccine for malaria, which triggered a $1.0 million milestone payment to Vical. The Company's naked DNA technology is being applied in a total of fifteen preventive vaccine candidates under development by licensees Merck & Co. and Pasteur Merieux Connaught, and independently by Vical.
``We are pleased that both Merck and Pasteur Merieux Connaught have demonstrated their commitment to Vical's DNA vaccine technology by initiating human testing of product candidates,'' said Alain B. Schreiber, M.D., President and CEO of Vical. ``We also are actively pursuing additional business arrangements related to our proprietary naked DNA delivery technology. In addition, we continue to progress with the development of our cancer gene therapy product candidates.''
Clinical trial data for Allovectin-7, the Company's most advanced cancer product candidate, were released during the second quarter and warrant continued efficacy trials in patients with melanoma and head and neck cancer. With Leuvectin, a second cancer product candidate, a Phase I/II trial in prostate cancer patients began during the second quarter and a Phase I/II dose escalation trial continues in patients with melanoma, renal cell carcinoma, and sarcoma." |