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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use

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To: zonder who wrote (2269)6/9/2003 8:31:11 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) of 4905
 
<The preferred method through which Japan has been supporting the US economy has been investing unreal amounts into US t-bills, rather than buying USDs. >

Yes, plus agency securities I believe. That's what I meant... the point is they ARE accumulating $US risk no? AND it's a streatch to say that "our trading partners still want to invest here rather than their own countries"... especially since it's the marginal $ that counts no?

<It is not HER analysis. It is how inflation is CALCULATED.>

Actually, you're the first one to bring up how it's calculated... her points were:

1.) "Contrary to what everyone thinks a falling dollar isn't making price inflation tick up here."

2.) Its a knee jerk reaction to think it will but the necessary psychology for rising wage demands just doesn't exist at this time.

My post regarded HER ANALYSIS that you will see rising wage demands push inflation. I don't think you do, I think that would lag way behind.

As long as were on inflation BTW, there are TONS of indicators that people use to predict CPI and PPI [we wont' even GO to the point lot's of rational people look at other things than those two also]. Lot's of them ARE flashing inflationary signals as has been posed here before.

Any comment on the time lag of falling dollar to rising import prices??? The extent, if any of increase in import prices?

DAK
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