The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread Message Board

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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread

VTI 331.74

-1.2%

Nov 4 4:00 PM EST

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To: marc ultra who wrote (2558)	6/11/2003 7:36:17 PM
From: marc ultra	Read Replies (2) of 10065

Some extreme bullish sentiment points in recent history and result. This is based on a chart Ruykeyser used to show intermittently on WSW. Data points are certainly not exhaustive and may not be precise DATE B/(Bulls+bears) result 1/5/73 80.3% Dow down 45% over 23 mos 12/31/76 90.0% Dow down 26% in 14 mos 8/21/87 76.0% Dow down 36% in 8 weeks In the bubble that ended in 2000 I don't think we ever breached 70% significantly. I'll pass on interpreting the importance of the current extreme number other than saying it makes me extremely uncomfortable<g> Marc

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