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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Ilaine who wrote (101315)	6/12/2003 7:06:04 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) of 281500

OK, we've got the makings of a real wager here. I am betting on Israel starting a real shooting war with the militants, with a lot of bloodshed and carnage on both sides. Lots of dead babies and exploded buses, lots of houses knocked down with bulldozers. Ok, but we definitely need to define our terms here - what's "low grade"? what's "lot's"?. Remember, more ink gets spilled over a dozen dead on the West Bank than ten thousand dead in Africa. I'm sure you remember how a total kia of less than 80 (both sides) got turned into the "massacre of Jenin". What's been going on in the intifada is my definition of low-grade war. If the IDF goes into Gaza in force as they did on the West Bank, it will still be low-grade counter insurgency warfare by any traditional definition, but it will attract enough attention for WWWIII. I suppose I would call it a minor shooting war, as opposed to 1967 or 1973.

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