A philosophical investigation into Enron Page 3
Here we enter a murky world that almost no economists, and only a limited number of other social scientists, have sought to enter. Let's call it the world of "ethnoaccountancy". The term is analogous to "ethnobotany", which is the study of how cultures classify plants, and which sets aside the issue of whether these classifications are correct according to our modern botany.
An ethnoaccountant, similarly, would study how people produce numbers, how they actually do their financial reckoning.
An ethnoaccountant couldn't just read the rule book, even though it exists in the form of GAAP, the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles of the Financial Accounting Standards Board. The ethnoaccountant has to be a Wittgensteinian. In the Philosophical Investigations, Wittgenstein pointed to the hidden complexity of the apparently simple notion of "following a rule". If we think of a rule as a set of words - written, for example, on the pages of GAAP - then following it seems to involve an act of interpretation of what the words "mean".
Interpretations, however, are contestable - especially if you have expensive lawyers and sophisticated accountants bent on finding an interpretation that will permit a valued client to do what he or she wishes. Of course, one can write rules for interpretation, but these rules themselves need to be interpreted: we are at the start of a potentially endless regress. If rules are simply verbal formulae, then, as Wittgenstein put it, "no course of action could be determined by a rule, because every course of action can be made out to accord with the rule."
All philosophers know Wittgenstein's discussion of following a rule. It seems as if the US Financial Accounting Standards Board does not, for it has progressed a long way into the interpretive regress: Fox reports that GAAP now comprises 100,000 pages of rules. At every stage of the regress, however, the Wittgensteinian analysis holds: even when expanded to 100,000 pages, what the rules of accounting "mean" can be contested.
Hence the need for ethnoaccountancy, for discovering how accountancy is actually done. Because there has been only a little of it, one can merely speculate as to what exactly would be found by an ethnoaccountant of the modern American corporation. It's certain that she would find a myriad of special purpose entities. Often their purpose is precisely to manage debt: to match it with a defined and predictable income stream in a way that will attract for the entities a higher rating from Moody's or Standard & Poor's. More generally, she would also find that the different ways in which rules can be applied can have major financial consequences. As Louis Lowenstein, a scholar straddling finance and law, put it in the Columbia Law Review in 1996:
Accounting is not precise or scientific. It is an art, and a highly developed one... GAAP requires industry to use accrual basis accounting. Income is thus recognised when it is earned rather than when cash is received. The essence of the accrual basis is the matching of expenses with revenues, so as to produce a truer picture of a company's profitability. The rub is that accrual-basis accounting affords a great deal of flexibility and judgment in the timing of income and expense recognition. Will American Airlines' new aeroplanes be serviceable for thirty years or should they be depreciated over just twenty? Should research and development expenses be charged to earnings as they are incurred, or should some portion be capitalised and charged only over time? And so on. There is no single, correct answer to such questions.
The ethnoaccountant might well find that timing is the key issue. It is, for example, greatly in managers' interests for share prices to be kept high at least until their share options can be exercised profitably - what happens in the more distant future may be of less concern.
More subtly, flexibility about when income and expenses are recognised on balance sheets permits what is known as "income smoothing": managing balance sheets in such a way that a corporation's profits rise smoothly and predictably (just beating the "forecasts" which investor relations departments have fed to Wall Street analysts), rather than fluctuating erratically.
One way of smoothing income is to have a "cookie jar", or a reserve of earnings that have not yet been declared on the balance sheet. A good moment to create or replenish a cookie jar is when a corporation takes a "big bath" or reports a large loss. The markets can be perfectly tolerant of an occasional large loss, so long as it seems to be one-off and can be explained satisfactorily, for example as the costs associated with doing things of which the market approves, like reducing employee numbers dramatically.
What better time to be very pessimistic in the way one values assets or provides for future liabilities? Such pessimistic reporting refills the cookie jar, because rising asset values or lower than expected liabilities then form the foundation for future reporting of profits.
It's easy to overstate the practical implications of Wittgenstein's "rule-scepticism". He was saying that words alone can't constrain us, not that nothing constrains us. Sometimes we just know (in ways we may not be able entirely to explain in words and can't really construe as acts of interpretation) that an action is right or wrong.
Intriguingly, while most of us would say that we can just see these things, Wittgenstein reversed the visual metaphor. He said we must ultimately follow a rule blindly. But however we choose to express the point, juries often have little difficulty convicting murderers, even though precisely how to distinguish between murder and legitimate or less culpable forms of killing is a matter of continuous legal and ethical debate.
There was certainly quite some unease among those who had an insider view of Enron's accounting practices. Had there not been, staff at its auditors, Arthur Andersen (one of the "big five" global accountancy firms before its spectacular Enron-induced collapse), would not have taken the fatal decision to shred Enron-related records when they learned that the corporation was being investigated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.
But unease is not the same as assertion of blatant illegality, especially when those with the most negative views were sidelined, as apparently happened to the most sceptical Andersen partner, Carl Bass. In February 1999, David Duncan, the partner in charge of its dealings with Enron, told the latter's audit committee that "Obviously, we are on board with all of these" - Enron's accountancy practices - "but many push limits and have a high 'others could have a different view' risk profile." He was warning the corporation that what it was doing had the potential to create a damaging dispute - not telling them they would end up in jail if they kept doing it.
If Enron's CFO, Andrew Fastow, had thought that special purpose entities like LJM1 and LJM2 would be the subject of criminal proceedings, he would scarcely have named them, as he did, after the initials of his wife and two children. Enron was sailing close to the wind, but that's the way to sail fast, and in the late 1990s the stock market was rewarding those who did so.
To read on 26.05.2003: A philosophical investigation into Enron (part 2) |