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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: NickSE who wrote (103482)6/29/2003 8:59:43 PM
From: NickSE  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
The Baathists' Blundering Guerrilla War by Gary Anderson
washingtonpost.com

When I predicted April 2 in an article on this page that a Baathist insurgency movement would follow a conventional coalition victory in Iraq, I believed that resorting to guerrilla warfare was the most obvious course of action for the true believers in a regime facing inevitable defeat. I also said that I believed that they would foul it up. They promptly did so; if nothing else, they are predictable.

Given the chance to lie low and bide their time -- waiting until the Americans were well into a withdrawal before striking -- the Baathist leadership, or what is left of it, chose instead to tip its hand while the American presence in Iraq was strongest. By doing so, these Baathist leaders, a loosely knit network operating in the Sunni triangle northwest of Baghdad, caused U.S. forces to pour into a region that should have been their natural sanctuary. Now they are facing retaliation from the U.S.-led coalition at precisely the time they should be resting and recovering.

[cont'd...]

The writer is a retired Marine Corps officer who served in Lebanon and Somalia.
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