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Biotech / Medical : Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MLNM)

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To: Miljenko Zuanic who wrote (1671)7/1/2003 2:13:09 PM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (3) of 3044
 
J&J oncology expertise

Well they do have some oncology products - Doxil (liposomal doxorubicin) and something for hairy cell leukemia (name escapes me at present). But you are correct that they don't have much oncology development experience.

For a non-US deal this is about as best as could be expected. Developing a product like this is expensive - you need lots of trials in different indications with different combinations, so the share of development costs is significant.

Today US economic is ~40-50% of worldwide, but it may (and will) change dramatically in coming years. Global market has significant potential, imo.

That remains to be seen. There is an awful lot of temptation for many countries to just "steal" new drugs by allowing generics/knock-offs quickly, patents notwithstanding. Pharma (stupidly) initially tried to hold the line with HIV drugs - they have now retreated in disarray. Whether the HIV precedent will be followed by other areas still remains to be seen.

Canada is an interesting case. They toe the line on IP, but their strict price controls mean that they essentially get to partially free-ride on US drug development. I wouldn't be surprised to see some companies deciding to not seek approval for new drugs in Canada at all so as to avoid the re-importation problem.

Peter
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