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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: Paul Senior who wrote (17355)7/5/2003 10:37:20 AM
From: Steve168  Read Replies (1) of 78958
 
To Paul Senior. Thank you for your positive feedback. Yes my record here (recommending ALVR@1.85, now 4.3 in a few months; VICL under $4, now 5.5 in just few weeks) seems to be lucky, I personally felt lucky too because the percentage move on the upside was above my expectation. However, my model and timing is a lot more than "below cash basket", for example, my screening tool (home built) gave me ICTS in the past couple months, it is below cash and profitable, the numbers seem to be better than ALVR and VICL. But my other evaluation criteria were able to filter it out so I did not recommend it here. My model also has a technical analysis component (that I built and modified in the past 10 years) which is very effective in timing.

Anyway I am trying to stay cool after huge gains lately and taking some chips off the table. It is very important to not become complacent after my model portfolio (a real brokerage account) returned 143% since July 2001 and my total investing asset is closing to $1M mark. I am not using any margin or options, simply value stock picking plus tools for timing. I certainly have great goal in mind to be a very successful investor and more confident on that after 12 years thru the bull and bear.
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