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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 677.56-2.0%Jan 20 4:00 PM EST

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To: Tom Pulley who wrote (83895)7/5/2003 12:26:24 PM
From: Rock_nj  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
My longterm charting shows that the S&P 500 should be trading around 700 right now (a 25% to 30% drop from current levels). S&P should be trading around 1,000 in 2010. Add to that the fact that S&P 500 P/E's are still way above (around 26 to 30) their historical average of 15 and the fact that the volitility index (VIX) has become very lazy lately/trading in a trough (the market is complacent) and bullish sentiment has surged ahead of bearish sentiment. It all adds up to stock market downturn between now and October, especially if the economy doesn't show any signs of life.
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