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Pastimes : SARS - what next?
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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (632)7/5/2003 11:55:22 PM
From: Henry Niman  Read Replies (1) of 1070
 
>>In the early weeks, the epidemiologists were talking about a 4% [or 3% or even 2%] death rate. <<

The death rate was ALWAYS 15%. The 2-4% was utter nonsense based on a totally artificial number that was derived because it was assumed that all diagnosed patients would recover.

A rising mortality rate was TOTAL FICTION, based on a fundamental misconception which was spread far and wide by WHO, CDC, and the media, who believed them.

They now cite 15% for hard hit areas like Hong Kong, Singapore, Toronto, Taiwan. It has not changed.
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