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Politics : Impeach George W. Bush
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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (21917)7/10/2003 10:57:38 AM
From: jttmab  Read Replies (1) of 93284
 
I agree with Arianna Huffington (and I'm think you as well) that polls are bunk.

I don't think polls are bunk. They reflect "opinion" as it exists. You just have to be careful how you interpret the opinion and watch for poll organizations that manipulate.

If I see a poll that has a plus or minus 5%, rather than the standard plus or minus 2-3%, that's a flag. It's not that hard to get 2-3%. If I see a mix of current figures against historic figures, I know what they are doing.

Poll: If half of the American people believe that Saddam Hussein was behind 9/11, that's valuable information! You do have to ask the question, how did they come to believe that? I think the only reasonable explanation is that every time Bush [the Administration] talked about Iraq ---- 9/11 and terrorists were in the same paragraph. He never said Iraq was behind 9/11, he just put all the words in the same paragraph. The next question is was the choice of words and the expected outcome intentional?

Poll: A majority of people support "affirmative action"; a majority of people oppose "quotas". If you're a conservative, you need to know that. That way you know to refer to every "affirmative action" program as a "quota".

Silimar with statistics. Statistics is simple number crunching. It's not bad or good. But if I see someone being highly selective in which sampling years they pick or pick different year ranges in the same analysis, you can't bet they are data mining and doing what if's in their spreadsheet to see what looks good.

jttmab
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