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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: James Clarke who wrote (17444)7/24/2003 2:36:03 PM
From: Bob Rudd  Read Replies (1) of 78525
 
BCC/OMX: I shorted BCC [very small position] on the news cause I it looked like a vertical integration, they paid a fat price considering debt and $2.7B OMX OBS OpLeases, and BCC's track record on acquisitions appears poor(http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A62169-2003Jul15.html). Vertical acquisitions involving suppliers buying retailers are nearly always disasters [Shaw Carpet's purchase of several carpet retailers, resulting loss of HD biz, and sale of retailers at big loss not long after is one of many examples]. OTOH, this may be something different...a reconfiguration of the business away from manufacturing and into distribution. There's been some indication that OMX complements their existing distribution business with OMX being lacking commercial biz that ODP and Staples have...with BCC's distribution biz filling that gap. I'm still holding the short cause it's small, but I don't know the situation well enough to fight the market much longer. The market may be saying that selling the timberlands might uncover more value than the OMX deal destroys...but that's just a guess. Then again it could just be the rising tide for the recently outperforming cyclicals...may have to wait till that tide ebbs to tell who's swimming naked.
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