Dean has opened up a pretty decent lead over Kerry in NH. Click the link for a more detailed analysis. One interesting fact is that Kerry favorability rating has gone down 5 points over the last month
August 19, 2003
Dean Jumps into Lead Among Democrats in New Hampshire
americanresearchgroup.com
Bolstered by television advertising, Vermont Governor Howard Dean has jumped into the lead in ballot preference and favorability among likely Democratic primary voters in the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Preference Primary according to the latest New Hampshire Poll. In ballot preference, Dean leads with 28% to 21% for Senator John Kerry and 10% for Congressman Dick Gephardt. As for candidate favorability, 63% of likely Democratic primary voters have a favorable opinion of Dean, 61% have a favorable opinion of Kerry, and 47% have a favorable opinion of Gephardt.
Awareness of Senator John Edwards, who also has been running television advertising in New Hampshire, has increased, but his ballot preference and favorability remain unchanged.
These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of registered Democrats and undeclared voters in New Hampshire saying they always vote or vote in most Democratic primary elections. This sample inculdes 433 Democrats (72%) and 167 undeclared voters (28%). The interviews were conducted August 15 through 18, 2003. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Dean, Kerry, and Gephardt are the only candidates with double-digit ballot preference as Joe Lieberman continues to lose support in ballot preference.
Click the URL for a detailed analysis |
