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To: orkrious who wrote (256952)8/21/2003 7:40:55 AM
From: orkrious   of 436258
 
doug kass on GE's short cycle orders:

Morning Data Points
08/21/03 07:27 AM EDT


Update HPQ GE



Hewlett and GE disappoint.
Rate of decline in orders dropped in all product groups and in all geographies.


The markets put on a good show yesterday considering three negative data points. First, Hewlett Packard (HPQ:NYSE) missed badly. Second, a price war continues in PC land. Third, and most importantly, General Electric's (GE:NYSE) short cycle orders were disappointing.

On the last score, GE's short cycle orders were down 0-5%. But adjusting for acquisitions and foreign exchange (apples to apples), orders dropped closer to 10%. Importantly, the rate of decline in orders dropped in all product groups and in all geographies. That's a trend!

Notably, U.S. orders were down 0-5% (up 5%-10% in June), Asia was down 5%-10% (vs. up 10%-15%) and Europe was up 15%-20% (vs. +20%). Appliances, lighting, plastics and industrials experienced deteriorating trends.

As I mentioned on Wednesday, I remain concerned that the bulls are expending a lot of buying power at these levels. Meanwhile, the capture of "Chemical Ali" is serving to buoy futures this morning. And so is better action in Europe.

thestreet.com
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