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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: NickSE who wrote (5751)	8/24/2003 1:41:51 AM
From: D. Long	Read Replies (1) of 793639

Fairbanks expects to see a greater effort by the U.S. to challenge renegade forces in Afghanistan. But the professor says that Washington is unlikely to try to confront major "entrenched" warlords, such as Ismail Khan or Abdul Rashid Dostum. What's the incentive to do so? Until the central government is strong enough, attempting to unseat the mujahadeen warlords is more likely to add fuel to the fire. Afghanistan is a live test of political philosophy. The warlords maintain their armies as a means of influence and protecting their interests against other warlords in the absence of an alternative mediator. Their armies stay with the warlords because they provide protection and patronage, and there is little else to do for employment. In the absence of a disinterested central authority with sufficiently powerful force to coerce any of the factions, Afghanistan is in a State of Nature. Until the central authority is powerful enough to assert a monopoly on the use of force, and convince all the parties that it can protect their interests and act as an objective mediator to disputes, that's the way it will remain. It's like we're observing the evolution of the State in fast-forward... Derek

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