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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004
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To: calgal who wrote (4185)8/24/2003 12:58:09 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (2) of 10965
 
As reality of 2004 approaches, Dean will fade, though he will keep a big chunk of loyalists the majority more moderate part of the dem party will demand a less vulnerable candidate (no not Lieberman) and the battle will be between Kerry and Gephardt to be annointed.

Dean and Kerry will battle fiercely in New Hampshire, but by then some sort of tie will be expected. Neither one of them will run away with it. So it may not even matter.

The primary process may take longer than anticipated. For a winner to emerge, some of the candidates will have to drop out and endorse others, and the Clinton-Gore people will have to endorse someone, probably Kerry. Expect Edwards to be gone early, and then Lieberman. Once Lieberman is gone, Kerry can really surge.

Dean will make it a lively debate, but I dont see him as a winner in the end, primarily because the game is rigged against him, as 37% of the delegates are Super Delegates who can vote any way they like, and most Super Delegates would far prefer Kerry than Dean runing against "Mr. AWOL Pilot On Aircraft Carrier" GW Bush.

The only wild card is if Gore changes his mind. But I dont see that happening unless there is total gridlock at the end and he's brought in as a compromoise candidate. Wouldn't that be something. And no, forget about Hillary. Not gonna happen.
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