Were the election held tomorrow, Bush would get 80% of the popular vote, with coattails a mile long.
It's impossible to objectively imagine a single state that the "Red Dean" could carry, including Vermont.
One reasonable insight: The Democrats COULD run a "generic candidate", with a white bag over its head and white clothes with black trim, call it "Candidate Doe", and poll better than any of the "Nine Dwarfs" could. In that case, they might get all the way to 30%-and with an outside shot at Vermont.
Older Democrats should remember: they bit on the general Nixon lack of popularity to fool themselves into thinking that Hanoi George McGovern could be a credible candidate in 1972. They never got over that disaster.
Bush, OTOH, has a loyal constituency that emcompasses a vast majority of the American people. And after the impeachment fix, the abortive coup of 2000's massive Gore vote fabrication, the Clinton/Rubin recession, and Clinton's 91101 (not to mention the Democrat's unbroken record of TREASON ever since), that majority is angry, and loaded for bear for 2004.
It's gonna be a sea-change, and the Democrats aren't helping themselves by already turning the 2004 campaign into one big Wellstone Funeral... |
