Army foresees doubling up tours Mon Aug 25, 8:51 AM ET
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By Dave Moniz, USA TODAY
For the first time since the all-volunteer Army began in 1973, significant numbers of U.S. combat soldiers may have to start serving back-to-back overseas tours of up to a year each in places such as Iraq (news - web sites), Afghanistan (news - web sites) and South Korea (news - web sites), top Army officers say.
Grappling with large, simultaneous deployments around the world, Army planners are trying to determine how many troops will have to serve extra tours. Based on the forces they must keep in place overseas, planners have concluded they will have no choice but to force thousands of troops to return to new overseas assignment after only a short time at home. Currently, troops can deploy with their families for years to places such as Germany or Japan, but they go to war zones or potential war zones such as Iraq or Korea without their families and typically serve there no more than a year.
"The Army is monitoring the situation," says Maj. Steve Stover, an Army spokesman at the Pentagon (news - web sites). "But we will do everything in our power to prevent back-to-back deployments."
Army officials are worried that the added tours will lower morale and cause a wave of exits throughout the Army. A key concern is that the deployments will cause an exodus of experienced, mid-career veterans such as sergeants, staff sergeants and captains, who are harder to replace than younger soldiers.
Privately, two officers familiar with the Army's deployment needs but who asked not to be identified say that keeping force levels up will almost certainly require extra overseas assignments. Preliminary estimates suggest that 15% to 25% of the nearly 180,000 troops now overseas in Iraq, Korea and Afghanistan may have to do consecutive tours. The estimate is based on the Army maintaining a force of about 130,000 troops in Iraq, about 10,000 in Afghanistan and about 40,000 in Korea for the foreseeable future. Though the Army has some 490,000 active-duty troops, the soldiers in Iraq, Korea and Afghanistan comprise more than 60% of its combat forces.
If the prediction is accurate, as many as 45,000 soldiers would have to double up. Some of the second tours would be for six months, but those in Iraq and Korea could require a second full year during which soldiers would be separated from their families. An officer says the Army would attempt to allow troops rotating home to have at least three months before heading back for a second overseas tour.
David Segal, a military sociologist at the University of Maryland, says there is a growing awareness among the Army rank-and-file that large numbers of troops will likely serve back-to-back assignments outside the United States.
"I know a number of officers from the 4th Infantry Division who are scrambling to find assignments that will take them out of the running to be re-deployed," Segal says.
Says one high-ranking Pentagon official familiar with the math: "Looking out three years, it is not unreasonable to expect that within a two-year period, a guy will have to do a year and a half outside the United States." |